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Trajectories, bifurcations and hysteresis in the Argentine economic cycle: the economic policy of Sudden Stops

https://doi.org/10.46272/2409-3416-2022-10-3-169-185

Abstract

This paper analyzes the evolution of the Argentine gross domestic product between 1875-2010. It intends to analyze its trajectory over time according to the periods of greater or lesser economic integration that the country experienced. An explanation of the poor performance that occurs between 1970-2010 (second globalization) is presented and compared with the period 1885-1914 (first globalization). This paper presents a series of graphic arguments that will allow us to analyze the evolution of the Argentine gross product from 1885 to 2010. It is not intended to explain or investigate the specific causes or reasons for the prosperity or depression that Argentina experienced in each of its episodes. Instead, an attempt is made to present longterm stylized facts seeking to compare moments of opening versus those of a closed economy over which the country oscillated in order to analyze long-term growth and economic volatility.

About the Author

Pablo Schiaffi
Torcuato Di Tella University; University of Palermo
Argentina

 Pablo Schiaffi, Doctor in Economics, Professor, 
Former Director of Research at the Business School-C.B.R.S-

1175ABT, Buenos Aires, Mario Bravo St. 1050



References

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3. Galiani, Sebastian, Daniel Heymann, Mariano Tommasi et al. “Great Expectations and Hard Times: The Argentine Convertibility Plan.” Economía 3, no. 2 (2003): 109–160.

4. Gerchunoff Pablo and Lucas Llach. ” Equality or Growth: A 20th Century Argentine Dilemma. ” Revista de Historia Económica 27, no. 3 (2009): 397–426.

5. Gerchunoff Pablo, and Martin Rapetti. Martin. “La economía argentina y su conflcto distributivo estructural (1930-2015).” El Trimestre Económico LXXXIII, no. 330 (2015): 225–272.

6. Heymann, D., and P. Sanguinetti. “Business cycles from misperceived trends.” Economic Notes by Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA 27, no. 2 (1998): 205–232.


Review

For citations:


Schiaffi P. Trajectories, bifurcations and hysteresis in the Argentine economic cycle: the economic policy of Sudden Stops. Cuadernos Iberoamericanos. 2022;10(3):169-185. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.46272/2409-3416-2022-10-3-169-185

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ISSN 2409-3416 (Print)
ISSN 2658-5219 (Online)