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Portugal on the eve of presidential elections

https://doi.org/10.46272/2409-3416-2020-8-3-89-100

Abstract

In 2015, Portugal entered a new political cycle with the main actors being the left-wing parties under the auspices of the Socialist Party and its leader Antonio Costa who took over as prime minister. The author analyzes the results of the socialist government activities carried out with the parliamentary support of the left. The author also studies the electoral process of 2017-2019, the dynamics of strengthening the position of the Socialist Party, and significance of the results of elections to national authorities. The trajectory of the country’s membership in the European Union, the history of the results of the European Parliament elections, including the 2019 elections, and the positions of the main political parties are analyzed. In connection with force majeure circumstances arising from the COVID-19 pandemic, the situation in the healthcare system was also studied and a program of the authorities to prevent the spread of coronavirus infection is presented in the article. The author touches upon the economic consequences of the pandemic, especially on those industries that will be most affected – tourism in particular. The article contains a brief forecast of the alignment of political forces on the eve of the presidential elections in 2021. The key is the idea that the pandemic will make possible adjustments in terms of the image and ratings of the country’s leaders and other participants in the election race. While presidential election results are usually a foregone conclusion in the event that a current head of state runs for a second term (as it is shown in the brief historical overview leading up to the article), the prime minister’s growing leadership can make adjustments to the final outcomes.

About the Author

N. M. Yakovleva
Russian Academy of Science
Russian Federation

Nailya M. Yakovleva, PhD (History), Leading researcher, Center of Political Studies, Institute of Latin American Studies

115035, Moscow, B. Ordynka St., 21/16



References

1. Vernikov, V.L., ed. Portugaliya: put’ ot revolyutsii… [Portugal: a path after the revolution]. Moscow: Ves’ mir, 2014. [In Russian]

2. Shveitser, V.Ya., ed. Evropa 2017: partii, vybory, vlast’ [Europe 2017: parties, elections, power]. Moscow: RAS Institute of Europe, 2018. [In Russian]

3. Shveitser, V.Ya, and Plevako, N.S., eds. Elektoral’nye protsessy v Evropeiskom soyuze (seredina vtorogo desyatiletiya XXI veka) [Electoral Processes in the European Union (The Middle of the XXI Century Second Decade)]. Moscow: RAS Institute of Europe, 2016. [In Russian]

4. Yakovlev, P.P. “Global’nye faktory ekonomicheskogo rosta” [Global drivers of economic growth]. In Ispaniya i Portugaliya v epokhu global’nykh transformatsii [Spain and Portugal in an era of global transformation], edited by N.M. Yakovleva, 24-31. Moscow: ILA RAS, 2017. [In Russian]

5. Yakovlev, P.P. “Ekonomicheskoe razvitie: ot “Revolyutsii gvozdik” do mirovogo krizisa” [Economic development: from the ‘Carnation Revolution’ to the global crisis]. In Portugaliya: epokha peremen [Portugal: the era of change], edited by N.M. Yakovleva, 27-28. Moscow: ILA RAS, 2014. [In Russian]

6. Yakovleva, N.M. Portugaliya: istoriya politicheskoi modernizatsii [Portugal: the history of political modernization]. Moscow: ILA RAS, 2016. [In Russian]


Review

For citations:


Yakovleva N.M. Portugal on the eve of presidential elections. Cuadernos Iberoamericanos. 2020;8(3):89-100. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.46272/2409-3416-2020-8-3-89-100

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ISSN 2409-3416 (Print)
ISSN 2658-5219 (Online)