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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">cuadernos</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Ибероамериканские тетради</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Cuadernos Iberoamericanos</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2409-3416</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-5219</issn><publisher><publisher-name>MGIMO</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.46272/2409-3416-2022-10-4-35-43</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">cuadernos-512</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ПОЛИТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>POLITICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Стратегия США и НАТО в конфликте на Украине: сценарии развития отношений с Россией</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>US and NATO strategy in Ukraine: scenarios for relations with Russia</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сафранчук</surname><given-names>И. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Safranchuk</surname><given-names>I. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Сафранчук Иван Алексеевич, к.полит.н., директор Центра евроазиатских исследований Института международных исследований МГИМО МИД России</p><p>119454, Москва, просп. Вернадского, 76</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>van A. Safranchuk, PhD (Politics), Director of the Center for Euroasian Studies, Institute for International Studies, MGIMO University</p><p>119454, Russia, Moscow, Vernadskogo Ave., 76 </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">and6958@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Центр евроазиатских исследований Института международных исследований МГИМО МИД России</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Center for Euroasian Studies, Institute for International Studies, MGIMO University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>22</day><month>02</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>10</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>35</fpage><lpage>43</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Сафранчук И.А., 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Сафранчук И.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Safranchuk I.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.iberpapers.org/jour/article/view/512">https://www.iberpapers.org/jour/article/view/512</self-uri><abstract><p>В данной статье рассматриваются сценарии развития отношений между конкретными членами Организации Североатлантического договора и Россией. Автор предпринимает попытку оценить внутреннюю сплоченность блока в контексте отношений с Россией и выявить, какие временные горизонты определили ключевые страны-члены НАТО относительно внешнеполитического планирования в условиях текущего кризиса.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>This article examines scenarios for the development of relations between certain members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Russia. The author attempts to assess the bloc’s internal cohesion in terms of relations with Russia and to identify what timelines key NATO member states have defined as to their foreign policy planning in the current crisis.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>НАТО</kwd><kwd>Россия</kwd><kwd>Украина</kwd><kwd>Соединенные Штаты Америки</kwd><kwd>война</kwd><kwd>кризис</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>NATO</kwd><kwd>Russia</kwd><kwd>Ukraine</kwd><kwd>US</kwd><kwd>war</kwd><kwd>crisis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bush, George. Decision Points. Broadway Paperbacks, 2011.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bush, George. Decision Points. Broadway Paperbacks, 2011.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Chekov, Alexander, Anna V. 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